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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Belgium v Egypt: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Lumen Field

Belgium

WWD
1–1
FT

Egypt

LWDW
Belgium 55%Draw 24%Egypt 20% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.01
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBelgium to win ✗55% · @1.63
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Belgium vs Egypt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 15 June the World Cup brings Belgium against Egypt at Lumen Field. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Belgium, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Tunisia, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Egypt, last 4: LWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brazil, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Belgium, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Egypt.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Belgium 1.6 xG, Egypt 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Belgium 55%, draw 24%, Egypt 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Belgium or draw (80%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belgium 1–1 Egypt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Belgium55%fair 1.81 · @1.63
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.80
Egypt20%fair 4.93 · @5.50
2.57Expected goals
1.56Belgium xG
1.01Egypt xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Belgium 1.6 – 1.0 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelgium to win ✗55%1.811.63
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓80%1.251.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.93 ▲
Draw no betBelgium (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapEgypt +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.10
First team to scoreBelgium to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belgium / FT Belgium ✗30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

Belgium – last 3

WWD
6 Junvs Tunisia5–0W
2 Jun@ Croatia2–0W
1 Apr@ Mexico1–1D
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Egypt – last 4

LWDW
6 Jun@ Brazil1–2L
28 Mayvs Russia1–0W
31 Mar@ Spain0–0D
27 Mar@ Saudi Arabia4–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Belgium and Egypt.

Belgium vs Egypt head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

FT Ivory Coast1 Ecuador0 132%3.55X40%2.84228%2.36 1.1–0.9xG 1XIvory Coast or draw 72%@1.57 ✓
FT Sweden5 Tunisia1 157%1.90X24%3.30220%4.20 1.9–1.0xG 1XSweden or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Spain0 Cape Verde Islands0 175%1.11X15%9.5029%19.00 2.3–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.35 ✗
FT Saudi Arabia1 Uruguay1 122%7.40X25%3.95254%1.49 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Belgium vs Egypt?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Belgium vs Egypt?

On our numbers Belgium have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Egypt 20%.

How many goals will there be in Belgium vs Egypt?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Egypt?

Our predicted score is Belgium 1–1 Egypt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Belgium vs Egypt?

Belgium vs Egypt (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.