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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spain v Cape Verde Islands: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Spain

WDDW
0–0
FT

Cape Verde Islands

WWL
Spain 75%Draw 15%Cape Verde Islands 9% Expected goals 2.32 – 0.77
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpain to win ✗75% · @1.11
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Spain vs Cape Verde Islands: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 15 June the World Cup brings Spain against Cape Verde Islands at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Spain, last 4: WDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Peru, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Cape Verde Islands, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bermuda, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spain 2.3 xG, Cape Verde Islands 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spain 75%, draw 15%, Cape Verde Islands 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.38.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spain 3–0 Cape Verde Islands. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spain75%fair 1.33 · @1.11
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @9.50
Cape Verde Islands9%fair 10.79 · @19.00
3.08Expected goals
2.32Spain xG
0.77Cape Verde Islands xG
52%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Spain 2.3 – 0.8 Cape Verde Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpain to win ✗75%1.331.11
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓91%1.101.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.932.38 ▲
Draw no betSpain (draw no bet)89%1.12–
Asian handicapSpain -1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.201.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.551.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.761.85 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.341.36
First team to scoreSpain to score first ✗72%1.39–
Half-time resultSpain ahead at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spain / FT Spain ✗48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

Spain – last 4

WDDW
9 Jun@ Peru3–1W
4 Junvs Iraq1–1D
31 Marvs Egypt0–0D
27 Marvs Serbia3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cape Verde Islands – last 3

WWL
6 Junvs Bermuda3–0W
31 Mayvs Serbia3–0W
27 Mar@ Chile2–4L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spain and Cape Verde Islands.

Spain vs Cape Verde Islands head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

FT Ivory Coast1 Ecuador0 132%3.55X40%2.84228%2.36 1.1–0.9xG 1XIvory Coast or draw 72%@1.57 ✓
FT Sweden5 Tunisia1 157%1.90X24%3.30220%4.20 1.9–1.0xG 1XSweden or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Belgium1 Egypt1 155%1.63X24%3.80220%5.50 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Saudi Arabia1 Uruguay1 122%7.40X25%3.95254%1.49 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?

On our numbers Spain have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Cape Verde Islands 9%.

How many goals will there be in Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?

Our predicted score is Spain 3–0 Cape Verde Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?

Spain vs Cape Verde Islands (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.