Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.55 – our chance 58% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +49%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEcuador to win ✗66% · @1.17
Double chanceEcuador or draw ✓83% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Ecuador vs Curaçao: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Curaçao travel to face Ecuador on Sunday 21 June in the World Cup, with Arrowhead Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Ecuador, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ivory Coast, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Curaçao, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Germany, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 3.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ecuador, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.6 for Curaçao.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ecuador 2.2 xG, Curaçao 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ecuador 66%, draw 18%, Curaçao 17%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.55.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ecuador 2–1 Curaçao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ecuador66%fair 1.52 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @7.40
Curaçao17%fair 6.06 · @13.00
3.44Expected goals
2.16Ecuador xG
1.28Curaçao xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ecuador 2.2 – 1.3 Curaçao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ecuador to win✗
66%
1.52
1.17
Double chance
Ecuador or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
2.55 ▲
Draw no bet
Ecuador (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Curaçao +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
First team to score
Ecuador to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Ecuador ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ecuador / FT Ecuador✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Ecuador – last 5
LWWDD
15 Jun
@ Ivory Coast
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Guatemala
3–0
W
31 May
vs Saudi Arabia
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Curaçao – last 5
LWLLL
14 Jun
@ Germany
1–7
L
7 Jun
vs Aruba
4–0
W
30 May
@ Scotland
1–4
L
31 Mar
@ Australia
1–5
L
27 Mar
@ China
0–2
L
1.4Scored / game
3.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ecuador and Curaçao.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Ecuador vs Curaçao?
On our numbers Ecuador have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Curaçao 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ecuador vs Curaçao?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ecuador vs Curaçao?
Our predicted score is Ecuador 2–1 Curaçao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Ecuador vs Curaçao?
Ecuador vs Curaçao (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Arrowhead Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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