Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBelgium to win ✗64% · @1.42
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Belgium vs Iran: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 21 June: Belgium v Iran in the World Cup, played at SoFi Stadium.
Current form
Belgium, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Egypt, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Iran, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with New Zealand, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Belgium 2.0 xG, Iran 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Belgium 64%, draw 21%, Iran 15%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belgium 2–0 Iran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Belgium64%fair 1.57 · @1.42
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.35
Iran15%fair 6.53 · @7.30
2.90Expected goals
1.99Belgium xG
0.90Iran xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Belgium 2.0 – 0.9 Iran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✗
64%
1.57
1.42
Double chance
Belgium or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Belgium (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Belgium -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Belgium to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Belgium ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Belgium – last 4
DWWD
15 Jun
vs Egypt
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–0
W
2 Jun
@ Croatia
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Mexico
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Iran – last 4
DWWL
16 Jun
vs New Zealand
2–2
D
29 May
vs Gambia
3–1
W
31 Mar
@ Costa Rica
5–0
W
27 Mar
vs Nigeria
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belgium and Iran.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Belgium vs Iran?
On our numbers Belgium have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Iran 15%.
How many goals will there be in Belgium vs Iran?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Iran?
Our predicted score is Belgium 2–0 Iran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Belgium vs Iran?
Belgium vs Iran (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Saudi Arabia0
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