New Zealand 14%Draw 19%Belgium 66%Expected goals 1.07 – 2.07
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBelgium to win ✓66% · @1.19
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
New Zealand vs Belgium: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New Zealand welcome Belgium to BC Place for a World Cup fixture on Saturday 27 June (04:00 WAT).
Current form
New Zealand, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Egypt, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Belgium, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Iran, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Belgium, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for New Zealand.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Zealand 1.1 xG, Belgium 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Zealand 14%, draw 19%, Belgium 66%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Zealand 1–2 Belgium. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Zealand14%fair 6.94 · @11.50
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @7.00
Belgium66%fair 1.50 · @1.19
3.14Expected goals
1.07New Zealand xG
2.07Belgium xG
55%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: New Zealand 1.1 – 2.1 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✓
66%
1.50
1.19
Double chance
Belgium or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
Belgium (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Belgium -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.42
First team to score
Belgium to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Belgium ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✓
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
New Zealand – last 6
LDLLWL
22 Jun
vs Egypt
1–3
L
16 Jun
@ Iran
2–2
D
6 Jun
@ England
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Haiti
0–4
L
30 Mar
vs Chile
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Finland
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Belgium – last 5
DDWWD
21 Jun
vs Iran
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Egypt
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–0
W
2 Jun
@ Croatia
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Mexico
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Zealand and Belgium.
What is the prediction for New Zealand vs Belgium?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win New Zealand vs Belgium?
On our numbers New Zealand have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Belgium 66%.
How many goals will there be in New Zealand vs Belgium?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Belgium?
Our predicted score is New Zealand 1–2 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is New Zealand vs Belgium?
New Zealand vs Belgium (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cape Verde Islands0
Saudi Arabia0
Uruguay0
Spain1
Egypt1
Iran1
Croatia2
Ghana1
Panama0
England2