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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Panama v England: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · MetLife Stadium

Panama

LLDWL
0–2
FT

England

DWWWL
Panama 13%Draw 17%England 70% Expected goals 0.83 – 2.03
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEngland to win ✓70% · @1.18
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Panama vs England: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Panama welcome England to MetLife Stadium for a World Cup fixture on Saturday 27 June (22:00 WAT).

Current form

Panama, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Croatia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

England, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ghana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours England, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Panama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Panama 0.8 xG, England 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Panama 13%, draw 17%, England 70%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panama 0–2 England. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Panama13%fair 7.49 · @11.50
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @7.40
England70%fair 1.43 · @1.18
2.86Expected goals
0.83Panama xG
2.03England xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Panama 0.8 – 2.0 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEngland to win ✓70%1.431.18
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓87%1.151.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.812.10 ▲
Draw no betEngland (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapEngland -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.30
First team to scoreEngland to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultEngland ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT England / FT England ✗42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Panama – last 6

LLDWLW
24 Junvs Croatia0–1L
18 Jun@ Ghana0–1L
6 Junvs Bosnia & Herzegovina1–1D
4 Junvs Dominican Republic4–2W
31 May@ Brazil2–6L
31 Mar@ South Africa2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

England – last 6

DWWWLD
23 Junvs Ghana0–0D
17 Junvs Croatia4–2W
10 Junvs Costa Rica3–0W
6 Junvs New Zealand1–0W
31 Marvs Japan0–1L
27 Marvs Uruguay1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Panama and England.

Panama vs England head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panama vs England?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Panama vs England?

On our numbers Panama have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and England 70%.

How many goals will there be in Panama vs England?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Panama vs England?

Our predicted score is Panama 0–2 England, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Panama vs England?

Panama vs England (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.