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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Uruguay v Spain: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Estadio Akron

Uruguay

DDDD
0–1
FT

Spain

WDWDD
Uruguay 23%Draw 25%Spain 52% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.59
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpain to win ✓52% · @1.70
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓77% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.59

Uruguay vs Spain: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Uruguay welcome Spain to Estadio Akron for a World Cup fixture on Saturday 27 June (01:00 WAT).

Current form

Uruguay, last 4: DDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cape Verde Islands, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Spain, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Saudi Arabia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Spain, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Uruguay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Uruguay 1.1 xG, Spain 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Uruguay 23%, draw 25%, Spain 52%.
  • Lower-risk option: Spain or draw (77%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uruguay 1–1 Spain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Uruguay23%fair 4.37 · @5.20
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.45
Spain52%fair 1.92 · @1.70
2.69Expected goals
1.10Uruguay xG
1.59Spain xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Uruguay 1.1 – 1.6 Spain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpain to win ✓52%1.921.70
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓77%1.301.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.772.05 ▲
Draw no betSpain (draw no bet) ✓69%1.44–
Asian handicapUruguay +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.07
First team to scoreSpain to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spain / FT Spain ✓29%3.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.59–

Recent results

Uruguay – last 4

DDDD
21 Junvs Cape Verde Islands2–2D
15 Jun@ Saudi Arabia1–1D
31 Mar@ Algeria0–0D
27 Mar@ England1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Spain – last 6

WDWDDW
21 Junvs Saudi Arabia4–0W
15 Junvs Cape Verde Islands0–0D
9 Jun@ Peru3–1W
4 Junvs Iraq1–1D
31 Marvs Egypt0–0D
27 Marvs Serbia3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Uruguay and Spain.

Uruguay vs Spain head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

FT Cape Verde Islands0 Saudi Arabia0 138%2.60X28%3.25235%2.64 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Egypt1 Iran1 147%2.44X30%2.50223%3.85 1.5–0.9xG 1XEgypt or draw 77%@1.20 ✓
FT New Zealand1 Belgium5 114%11.50X19%7.00266%1.19 1.1–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.30 ✓
FT Croatia2 Ghana1 154%1.75X26%3.35220%5.00 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Panama0 England2 113%11.50X17%7.40270%1.18 0.8–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.70 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uruguay vs Spain?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Uruguay vs Spain?

On our numbers Uruguay have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spain 52%.

How many goals will there be in Uruguay vs Spain?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uruguay vs Spain?

Our predicted score is Uruguay 1–1 Spain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Uruguay vs Spain?

Uruguay vs Spain (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.