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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Croatia v Ghana: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Lincoln Financial Field

Croatia

WLWLL
2–1
FT

Ghana

DWDLL
Croatia 54%Draw 26%Ghana 20% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.00
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCroatia to win ✓54% · @1.75
Double chanceCroatia or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.58

Croatia vs Ghana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Croatia welcome Ghana to Lincoln Financial Field for a World Cup fixture on Saturday 27 June (22:00 WAT).

Current form

Croatia, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Panama, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Ghana, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with England, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Croatia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Ghana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Croatia 1.6 xG, Ghana 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Croatia 54%, draw 26%, Ghana 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Croatia or draw (80%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Croatia 1–1 Ghana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Croatia54%fair 1.85 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.35
Ghana20%fair 5.02 · @5.00
2.58Expected goals
1.58Croatia xG
1.00Ghana xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Croatia 1.6 – 1.0 Ghana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCroatia to win ✓54%1.851.75
Double chanceCroatia or draw ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.872.05 ▲
Draw no betCroatia (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapGhana +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.06
First team to scoreCroatia to score first ✓57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Croatia / FT Croatia ✓31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.58–

Recent results

Croatia – last 6

WLWLLW
24 Jun@ Panama1–0W
17 Jun@ England2–4L
7 Junvs Slovenia2–1W
2 Junvs Belgium0–2L
1 Apr@ Brazil1–3L
27 Mar@ Colombia2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ghana – last 6

DWDLLL
23 Jun@ England0–0D
18 Junvs Panama1–0W
2 Jun@ Wales1–1D
23 May@ Mexico0–2L
30 Mar@ Germany1–2L
27 Mar@ Austria1–5L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Croatia and Ghana.

Croatia vs Ghana head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

FT Cape Verde Islands0 Saudi Arabia0 138%2.60X28%3.25235%2.64 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Uruguay0 Spain1 123%5.20X25%3.45252%1.70 1.1–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✗
FT Egypt1 Iran1 147%2.44X30%2.50223%3.85 1.5–0.9xG 1XEgypt or draw 77%@1.20 ✓
FT New Zealand1 Belgium5 114%11.50X19%7.00266%1.19 1.1–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.30 ✓
FT Panama0 England2 113%11.50X17%7.40270%1.18 0.8–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.70 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Croatia vs Ghana?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Croatia vs Ghana?

On our numbers Croatia have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ghana 20%.

How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Ghana?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Ghana?

Our predicted score is Croatia 1–1 Ghana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Croatia vs Ghana?

Croatia vs Ghana (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Lincoln Financial Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.