Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Algeria to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlgeria to win ✗36% · @3.40
Double chanceAlgeria or draw ✓70% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Algeria vs Austria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Algeria v Austria in the World Cup, played at Arrowhead Stadium.
Current form
Algeria, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jordan, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Austria, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Argentina, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Algeria 1.6 xG, Austria 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Algeria 36%, draw 34%, Austria 30%.
Lower-risk option: Algeria or draw (70%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Algeria to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Algeria 1–1 Austria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Algeria36%fair 2.75 · @3.40
Draw34%fair 2.96 · @2.00
Austria30%fair 3.36 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.56Algeria xG
1.32Austria xG
58%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Algeria 1.6 – 1.3 Austria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeria to win✗
36%
2.75
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Algeria or draw✓
70%
1.42
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Algeria (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Austria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.65 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
1.03
First team to score
Algeria to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeria / FT Algeria✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Algeria – last 6
WLWWDW
23 Jun
@ Jordan
2–1
W
17 Jun
@ Argentina
0–3
L
11 Jun
@ Bolivia
4–0
W
3 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Uruguay
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Guatemala
7–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Austria – last 5
LWWWW
22 Jun
@ Argentina
0–2
L
17 Jun
vs Jordan
3–1
W
1 Jun
vs Tunisia
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs South Korea
1–0
W
27 Mar
vs Ghana
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeria and Austria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Algeria vs Austria?
On our numbers Algeria have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Austria 30%.
How many goals will there be in Algeria vs Austria?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeria vs Austria?
Our predicted score is Algeria 1–1 Austria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Algeria vs Austria?
Algeria vs Austria (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Arrowhead Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.