Congo DR vs Uzbekistan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Congo DR v Uzbekistan in the World Cup, played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Current form
Congo DR, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colombia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Uzbekistan, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Portugal, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Congo DR 1.8 xG, Uzbekistan 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Congo DR 54%, draw 24%, Uzbekistan 22%.
Lower-risk option: Congo DR or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Congo DR 1–1 Uzbekistan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Congo DR54%fair 1.85 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Uzbekistan22%fair 4.56 · @4.33
2.86Expected goals
1.76Congo DR xG
1.10Uzbekistan xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Congo DR 1.8 – 1.1 Uzbekistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Congo DR to win✓
54%
1.85
1.77
Double chance
Congo DR or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Congo DR (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Uzbekistan +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Congo DR to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Congo DR / FT Congo DR✗
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Congo DR – last 5
LDLDD
24 Jun
@ Colombia
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Portugal
1–1
D
9 Jun
vs Chile
1–2
L
3 Jun
vs Denmark
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Jamaica
0–0
D
0.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Uzbekistan – last 5
LLLLW
23 Jun
@ Portugal
0–5
L
18 Jun
vs Colombia
1–3
L
8 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–2
L
2 Jun
@ Canada
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Gabon
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Congo DR and Uzbekistan.
What is the prediction for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
On our numbers Congo DR have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Uzbekistan 22%.
How many goals will there be in Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
Our predicted score is Congo DR 1–1 Uzbekistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.