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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Congo DR v Uzbekistan: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
3–1
FT
Congo DR 54%Draw 24%Uzbekistan 22% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.10
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultCongo DR to win ✓54% · @1.77
Double chanceCongo DR or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Congo DR v Uzbekistan in the World Cup, played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Current form

Congo DR, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colombia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Uzbekistan, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Portugal, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Congo DR 1.8 xG, Uzbekistan 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Congo DR 54%, draw 24%, Uzbekistan 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Congo DR or draw (78%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Congo DR 1–1 Uzbekistan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Congo DR54%fair 1.85 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Uzbekistan22%fair 4.56 · @4.33
2.86Expected goals
1.76Congo DR xG
1.10Uzbekistan xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Congo DR 1.8 – 1.1 Uzbekistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCongo DR to win ✓54%1.851.77
Double chanceCongo DR or draw ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.85
Draw no betCongo DR (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapUzbekistan +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.962.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.09
First team to scoreCongo DR to score first ✗58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Congo DR / FT Congo DR ✗32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Congo DR – last 5

LDLDD
24 Jun@ Colombia0–1L
17 Jun@ Portugal1–1D
9 Junvs Chile1–2L
3 Junvs Denmark0–0D
31 Marvs Jamaica0–0D
0.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Uzbekistan – last 5

LLLLW
23 Jun@ Portugal0–5L
18 Junvs Colombia1–3L
8 Jun@ Netherlands1–2L
2 Jun@ Canada0–2L
27 Marvs Gabon3–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Congo DR and Uzbekistan.

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?

On our numbers Congo DR have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Uzbekistan 22%.

How many goals will there be in Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?

Our predicted score is Congo DR 1–1 Uzbekistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.