Colombia vs Portugal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the World Cup brings Colombia against Portugal at Hard Rock Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Current form
Colombia, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Congo DR, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Portugal, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Uzbekistan, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Portugal, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Colombia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colombia 1.1 xG, Portugal 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colombia 24%, draw 27%, Portugal 49%.
Lower-risk option: Portugal or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colombia 1–1 Portugal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colombia24%fair 4.12 · @4.00
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.50
Portugal49%fair 2.03 · @1.87
2.47Expected goals
1.05Colombia xG
1.42Portugal xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Colombia 1.1 – 1.4 Portugal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugal to win✗
49%
2.03
1.87
Double chance
Portugal or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.83
Draw no bet
Portugal (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Colombia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Portugal to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugal / FT Portugal✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Colombia – last 5
WWWLL
24 Jun
vs Congo DR
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Uzbekistan
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Jordan
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs France
1–3
L
27 Mar
vs Croatia
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Portugal – last 6
WDWWWD
23 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
5–0
W
17 Jun
vs Congo DR
1–1
D
10 Jun
vs Nigeria
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Chile
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ USA
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Mexico
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Portugal.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Colombia vs Portugal?
On our numbers Colombia have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Portugal 49%.
How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Portugal?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Portugal?
Our predicted score is Colombia 1–1 Portugal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Colombia vs Portugal?
Colombia vs Portugal (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Hard Rock Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Congo DR3
Uzbekistan1
Algeria3
Austria3
Jordan1
Argentina3
South Africa0
Canada1