South Africa 25%Draw 28%Canada 47%Expected goals 1.08 – 1.24
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCanada to win ✓47% · @1.68
Double chanceCanada or draw ✓75% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22
South Africa vs Canada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Canada travel to face South Africa on Sunday 28 June in the World Cup, with SoFi Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
South Africa, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over South Korea, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Canada, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Switzerland, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Canada, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for South Africa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Africa 1.1 xG, Canada 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Africa 25%, draw 28%, Canada 47%.
Lower-risk option: Canada or draw (75%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Africa 1–1 Canada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Africa25%fair 3.95 · @5.25
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.50
Canada47%fair 2.12 · @1.68
2.33Expected goals
1.08South Africa xG
1.24Canada xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: South Africa 1.1 – 1.2 Canada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canada to win✓
47%
2.12
1.68
Double chance
Canada or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Canada (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
South Africa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Canada to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canada / FT Canada✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.22
–
Recent results
South Africa – last 6
WDLDLD
25 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Mexico
0–2
L
29 May
vs Nicaragua
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Panama
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Panama
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Canada – last 6
LWDDWD
24 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Qatar
6–0
W
12 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Rep. Of Ireland
1–1
D
2 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Tunisia
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Africa and Canada.
What is the prediction for South Africa vs Canada?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win South Africa vs Canada?
On our numbers South Africa have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Canada 47%.
How many goals will there be in South Africa vs Canada?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Canada?
Our predicted score is South Africa 1–1 Canada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is South Africa vs Canada?
South Africa vs Canada (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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