Inter Miami v New York Red Bulls Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultInter Miami to win ✗63% · @1.49

Double chanceInter Miami or draw ✓82% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

New York Red Bulls travel to face Inter Miami on Sunday 12 April in the Major League Soccer, with Nu Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Inter Miami are 2nd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; New York Red Bulls are 10th (lower half) with 42. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Inter Miami, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Austin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

New York Red Bulls, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FC Cincinnati, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours New York Red Bulls, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Inter Miami.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Inter Miami 2.4 xG, New York Red Bulls 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Inter Miami 63%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 18%.
Lower-risk option: Inter Miami or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter Miami 2–1 New York Red Bulls. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Inter Miami63%fair 1.58 · @1.49

Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.90

New York Red Bulls18%fair 5.57 · @5.10

3.62Expected goals

2.35Inter Miami xG

1.27New York Red Bulls xG

66%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

1–18%

2–07%

3–17%

1–06%

2–26%

From our goals model: Inter Miami 2.4 – 1.3 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Inter Miami to win ✗	63%	1.58	1.49
Double chance	Inter Miami or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.52	1.45
Draw no bet	Inter Miami (draw no bet)	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	Inter Miami -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.38
First team to score	Inter Miami to score first	63%	1.58	–
Half-time result	Inter Miami ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.15	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami ✗	40%	2.49	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.64	–

Inter Miami – last 6

DDDDWL

5 Apr	vs Austin	2–2	D
19 Mar	vs Nashville SC	1–1	D
15 Mar	@ Charlotte	0–0	D
12 Mar	@ Nashville SC	0–0	D
2 Mar	@ Orlando City SC	4–2	W
22 Feb	@ Los Angeles FC	0–3	L

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

New York Red Bulls – last 3

WLW

5 Apr	vs FC Cincinnati	4–2	W
22 Mar	@ Charlotte	1–6	L
22 Feb	@ Orlando City SC	2–1	W

2.3Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?

On our numbers Inter Miami have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and New York Red Bulls 18%.

How many goals will there be in Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?

Our predicted score is Inter Miami 2–1 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?

Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Inter Miami v New York Red Bulls: numbers & prediction