Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 3.15 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte to win ✗38% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.57
Charlotte vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Charlotte welcome Nashville SC to Bank of America Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 12 April (00:30 WAT). In the table, Charlotte are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charlotte, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Philadelphia Union, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Nashville SC, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club America, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Charlotte, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Nashville SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte 1.3 xG, Nashville SC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte 38%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Nashville SC to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte 1–1 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte38%fair 2.65 · @2.22
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Nashville SC36%fair 2.76 · @3.15
2.74Expected goals
1.31Charlotte xG
1.42Nashville SC xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Charlotte 1.3 – 1.4 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✗
38%
2.65
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Charlotte (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Charlotte +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Nashville SC to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.57
–
Recent results
Charlotte – last 5
WWDWL
5 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs New York Red Bulls
6–1
W
15 Mar
vs Inter Miami
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Austin
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Nashville SC – last 6
DLWDWD
8 Apr
vs Club America
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Orlando City SC
5–0
W
19 Mar
@ Inter Miami
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Columbus Crew
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Inter Miami
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and Nashville SC.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nashville SC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
Charlotte vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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