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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Dallas v St. Louis City: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Toyota Stadium
1–1
FT
FC Dallas 46%Draw 24%St. Louis City 31% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.42
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Dallas to win ✗46% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

FC Dallas vs St. Louis City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 April the Major League Soccer brings FC Dallas against St. Louis City at Toyota Stadium. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, FC Dallas are 2nd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; St. Louis City are 3rd (among the top four) with 54.

Current form

FC Dallas, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over DC United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

St. Louis City, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with New York City FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Dallas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for St. Louis City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Dallas 1.6 xG, St. Louis City 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Dallas 46%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Dallas 1–1 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Dallas46%fair 2.19 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.70
St. Louis City31%fair 3.26 · @3.40
3.07Expected goals
1.65FC Dallas xG
1.42St. Louis City xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: FC Dallas 1.6 – 1.4 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Dallas to win ✗46%2.191.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.48
Draw no betFC Dallas (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapSt. Louis City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.681.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
First team to scoreFC Dallas to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Dallas / FT FC Dallas ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

FC Dallas – last 6

WWDLDW
5 Apr@ DC United4–0W
22 Marvs Houston Dynamo4–3W
15 Marvs San Diego3–3D
8 Mar@ Los Angeles FC0–1L
1 Marvs Nashville SC0–0D
22 Febvs Toronto FC3–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

St. Louis City – last 5

DWLLL
5 Apr@ New York City FC1–1D
22 Marvs New England Revolution3–1W
15 Mar@ Los Angeles FC0–2L
8 Marvs Seattle Sounders0–1L
2 Mar@ San Diego0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Dallas and St. Louis City.

FC Dallas vs St. Louis City head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?

On our numbers FC Dallas have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Louis City 31%.

How many goals will there be in FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?

Our predicted score is FC Dallas 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?

FC Dallas vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.