Chicago Fire 62%Draw 22%Atlanta United FC 17%Expected goals 2.02 – 1.04
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultChicago Fire to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceChicago Fire or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chicago Fire welcome Atlanta United FC to Soldier Field for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 12 April (01:30 WAT). In the table, Chicago Fire are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 34 matches; Atlanta United FC are 13th (in the drop zone) with 33. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chicago Fire, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nashville SC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Atlanta United FC, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Columbus Crew, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chicago Fire, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Atlanta United FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Fire 2.0 xG, Atlanta United FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Fire 62%, draw 22%, Atlanta United FC 17%.
Lower-risk option: Chicago Fire or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Fire 2–1 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chicago Fire62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.20
Atlanta United FC17%fair 6.01 · @5.10
3.05Expected goals
2.02Chicago Fire xG
1.04Atlanta United FC xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.0 – 1.0 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
Chicago Fire or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Draw no bet
Chicago Fire (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Chicago Fire -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Chicago Fire to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Chicago Fire ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Chicago Fire – last 5
WLDDL
5 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Orlando City II
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Columbus Crew
0–0
D
28 Feb
@ Inter Miami II
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Houston Dynamo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Atlanta United FC – last 4
LDLL
5 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs DC United
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Real Salt Lake
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United FC.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlanta United FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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