Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 2.12 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNashville SC to win ✓51% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nashville SC travel to face Atlanta United FC on Sunday 19 April in the Major League Soccer, with Mercedes-Benz Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 44 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlanta United FC, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chattanooga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Nashville SC, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club America, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nashville SC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Atlanta United FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 0.9 xG, Nashville SC 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 25%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 51%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Nashville SC to win @2.12 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlanta United FC25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.45
Nashville SC51%fair 1.97 · @2.12
2.63Expected goals
0.95Atlanta United FC xG
1.68Nashville SC xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 0.9 – 1.7 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✓
51%
1.97
2.12 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Draw no bet
Nashville SC (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Atlanta United FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Nashville SC to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Atlanta United FC – last 6
WLLDLL
16 Apr
@ Chattanooga
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs DC United
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Real Salt Lake
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nashville SC – last 6
WWDLWD
15 Apr
@ Club America
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Charlotte
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Club America
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Orlando City SC
5–0
W
19 Mar
@ Inter Miami
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and Nashville SC.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nashville SC 51%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC?
Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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