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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Seattle Sounders v St. Louis City: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Lumen Field
4–1
FT
Seattle Sounders 47%Draw 24%St. Louis City 29% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.23
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 4.30 – our chance 29% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSeattle Sounders to win ✓47% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Seattle Sounders welcome St. Louis City to Lumen Field for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 19 April (02:30 WAT). In the table, Seattle Sounders are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; St. Louis City are 3rd (among the top four) with 54.

Current form

Seattle Sounders, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tigres UANL, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

St. Louis City, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over FC Tulsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Seattle Sounders, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for St. Louis City.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended St. Louis City 0–1 Seattle Sounders.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Seattle Sounders 1.4 xG, St. Louis City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Seattle Sounders 47%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: St. Louis City to win @4.30 – the bookmaker implies 23%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Seattle Sounders 1–1 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Seattle Sounders47%fair 2.12 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.90
St. Louis City29%fair 3.40 · @4.30
2.59Expected goals
1.36Seattle Sounders xG
1.23St. Louis City xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Seattle Sounders 1.4 – 1.2 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSeattle Sounders to win ✓47%2.121.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.57
Draw no betSeattle Sounders (draw no bet) ✓62%1.62–
Asian handicapSt. Louis City +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.461.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.201.20
First team to scoreSeattle Sounders to score first ✓48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Seattle Sounders / FT Seattle Sounders ✓23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.74–

Recent results

Seattle Sounders – last 6

WLWWWW
16 Aprvs Tigres UANL3–1W
9 Apr@ Tigres UANL0–2L
5 Apr@ Houston Dynamo1–0W
19 Marvs Vancouver Whitecaps2–1W
16 Mar@ San Jose Earthquakes1–0W
13 Mar@ Vancouver Whitecaps3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

St. Louis City – last 6

WDDWLL
16 Aprvs FC Tulsa4–0W
12 Apr@ FC Dallas1–1D
5 Apr@ New York City FC1–1D
22 Marvs New England Revolution3–1W
15 Mar@ Los Angeles FC0–2L
8 Marvs Seattle Sounders0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026St. Louis City v Seattle Sounders0–1
Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?

On our numbers Seattle Sounders have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Louis City 29%.

How many goals will there be in Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?

Our predicted score is Seattle Sounders 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?

Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.