Philadelphia Union 62%Draw 22%DC United 16%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.79
84%
Betarazi pick
Philadelphia Union or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Philadelphia Union to win @ 1.81 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗62% · @1.81
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Philadelphia Union vs DC United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Philadelphia Union welcome DC United to Subaru Park for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 19 April (00:30 WAT). In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; DC United are 14th (in the drop zone) with 33. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Philadelphia Union, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Charlotte, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
DC United, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to New England Revolution, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended DC United 1–0 Philadelphia Union.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 2.0 xG, DC United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 62%, draw 22%, DC United 16%.
Lower-risk option: Philadelphia Union or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Philadelphia Union to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Philadelphia Union or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 1–0 DC United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Philadelphia Union62%fair 1.62 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.60
DC United16%fair 6.06 · @4.20
2.77Expected goals
1.98Philadelphia Union xG
0.79DC United xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.0 – 0.8 DC United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and DC United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 1–0 DC United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
Philadelphia Union vs DC United (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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