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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · TQL Stadium
3–3
FT
FC Cincinnati 39%Draw 22%Chicago Fire 39% Expected goals 1.74 – 1.71
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Cincinnati to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.18

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Cincinnati welcome Chicago Fire to TQL Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 19 April (00:30 WAT). In the table, FC Cincinnati are 9th, lower half, on 46 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55.

Current form

FC Cincinnati, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to New York Red Bulls, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Chicago Fire, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Detroit City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Chicago Fire, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for FC Cincinnati.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Cincinnati 1.7 xG, Chicago Fire 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cincinnati 39%, draw 22%, Chicago Fire 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cincinnati 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Cincinnati39%fair 2.53 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.80
Chicago Fire39%fair 2.57 · @2.48
3.46Expected goals
1.74FC Cincinnati xG
1.71Chicago Fire xG
68%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%

From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 1.7 – 1.7 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Cincinnati to win ✗39%2.532.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.48
Draw no betFC Cincinnati (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapChicago Fire +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.731.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.321.20
First team to scoreFC Cincinnati to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.18–

Recent results

FC Cincinnati – last 6

LLLWLW
5 Apr@ New York Red Bulls2–4L
20 Mar@ Tigres UANL1–5L
15 Mar@ New England Revolution1–6L
13 Marvs Tigres UANL3–0W
9 Marvs Toronto FC0–1L
26 Febvs Universidad O&M9–0W
2.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Chicago Fire – last 6

WWWLDD
15 Apr@ Detroit City2–1W
12 Aprvs Atlanta United FC1–0W
5 Aprvs Nashville SC1–0W
9 Mar@ Orlando City II1–2L
8 Mar@ Columbus Crew0–0D
28 Feb@ Inter Miami II1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire.

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?

On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chicago Fire 39%.

How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?

Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.