New York City FC v FC Cincinnati Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNew York City FC to win ✗54% · @1.81

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Thursday 23 April: New York City FC v FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer, played at Yankee Stadium. In the table, New York City FC are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; FC Cincinnati are 9th (lower half) with 46.

Current form

New York City FC, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Charlotte, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

FC Cincinnati, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Chicago Fire, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours New York City FC, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for FC Cincinnati.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New York City FC 1.9 xG, FC Cincinnati 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – New York City FC 54%, draw 23%, FC Cincinnati 23%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York City FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New York City FC54%fair 1.86 · @1.81

Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.80

FC Cincinnati23%fair 4.26 · @3.95

3.26Expected goals

1.92New York City FC xG

1.34FC Cincinnati xG

64%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–07%

2–07%

1–27%

2–26%

From our goals model: New York City FC 1.9 – 1.3 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	New York City FC to win ✗	54%	1.86	1.81
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.29	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.56	1.55
Draw no bet	New York City FC (draw no bet)	70%	1.44	–
Asian handicap	FC Cincinnati +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.20
First team to score	New York City FC to score first	57%	1.76	–
Half-time result	New York City FC ahead at half-time ✓	39%	2.57	–
Half-time / full-time	HT New York City FC / FT New York City FC ✗	32%	3.15	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.54	–

New York City FC – last 6

LWLDWD

19 Apr	vs Charlotte	1–2	L
15 Apr	@ Westchester SC	5–2	W
12 Apr	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	0–2	L
5 Apr	vs St. Louis City	1–1	D
15 Mar	vs Colorado Rapids	3–1	W
23 Feb	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

FC Cincinnati – last 6

DLLLWL

19 Apr	vs Chicago Fire	3–3	D
5 Apr	@ New York Red Bulls	2–4	L
20 Mar	@ Tigres UANL	1–5	L
15 Mar	@ New England Revolution	1–6	L
13 Mar	vs Tigres UANL	3–0	W
9 Mar	vs Toronto FC	0–1	L

1.7Scored / game

3.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?

On our numbers New York City FC have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Cincinnati 23%.

How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Our predicted score is New York City FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

New York City FC v FC Cincinnati: numbers & prediction