Value bet: New England Revolution to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✗41% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlanta United FC welcome New England Revolution to Mercedes-Benz Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Thursday 23 April (00:45 WAT). In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; New England Revolution are 3rd (among the top four) with 58. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlanta United FC, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nashville SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
New England Revolution, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Columbus Crew, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours New England Revolution, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Atlanta United FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.4 xG, New England Revolution 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 41%, draw 24%, New England Revolution 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: New England Revolution to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 New England Revolution. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlanta United FC41%fair 2.43 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.55
New England Revolution34%fair 2.91 · @3.60
2.84Expected goals
1.43Atlanta United FC xG
1.41New England Revolution xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.4 – 1.4 New England Revolution expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win✗
41%
2.43
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Atlanta United FC (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
New England Revolution +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Atlanta United FC to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Atlanta United FC – last 6
LWLLDL
19 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Chattanooga
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs DC United
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Real Salt Lake
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
New England Revolution – last 5
WWLWL
19 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs DC United
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ St. Louis City
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs FC Cincinnati
6–1
W
22 Feb
@ Nashville SC
1–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and New England Revolution.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and New England Revolution 34%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 New England Revolution, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:45 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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