Toronto FC 36%Draw 23%Philadelphia Union 41%Expected goals 1.39 – 1.72
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Philadelphia Union to win @ 2.74 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗41% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Major League Soccer brings Toronto FC against Philadelphia Union at BMO Field. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50.
Current form
Toronto FC, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Cincinnati, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with DC United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Toronto FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Philadelphia Union.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 1.4 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 36%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 41%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Philadelphia Union to win @2.74 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toronto FC36%fair 2.81 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.45
Philadelphia Union41%fair 2.42 · @2.74
3.10Expected goals
1.39Toronto FC xG
1.72Philadelphia Union xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.4 – 1.7 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✗
41%
2.42
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Toronto FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.12
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Toronto FC – last 4
WLLW
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ FC Dallas
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Polessya
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
DLDLLW
19 Apr
vs DC United
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Charlotte
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Club America
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Club America
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Defence Force
7–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toronto FC and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Philadelphia Union 41%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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