FC Dallas v Minnesota United FC Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Dallas to win ✗48% · @2.02

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84

FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 23 April the Major League Soccer brings FC Dallas against Minnesota United FC at Toyota Stadium. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, FC Dallas are 2nd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; Minnesota United FC are 10th (lower half) with 44. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Dallas, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Los Angeles Galaxy, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Minnesota United FC, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Portland Timbers, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Minnesota United FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for FC Dallas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Dallas 1.9 xG, Minnesota United FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC Dallas 48%, draw 23%, Minnesota United FC 30%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Dallas 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Dallas48%fair 2.09 · @2.02

Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.70

Minnesota United FC30%fair 3.38 · @3.30

3.33Expected goals

1.90FC Dallas xG

1.43Minnesota United FC xG

63%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–27%

1–07%

2–27%

2–06%

From our goals model: FC Dallas 1.9 – 1.4 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Dallas to win ✗	48%	2.09	2.02
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.59	1.53
Draw no bet	FC Dallas (draw no bet) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Asian handicap	Minnesota United FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	81%	1.23	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.63	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.20
First team to score	FC Dallas to score first ✗	55%	1.82	–
Half-time result	FC Dallas ahead at half-time ✗	38%	2.66	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Dallas / FT FC Dallas ✗	30%	3.34	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.84	–

FC Dallas – last 6

DDWWDL

19 Apr	vs Los Angeles Galaxy	2–2	D
12 Apr	vs St. Louis City	1–1	D
5 Apr	@ DC United	4–0	W
22 Mar	vs Houston Dynamo	4–3	W
15 Mar	vs San Diego	3–3	D
8 Mar	@ Los Angeles FC	0–1	L

2.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Minnesota United FC – last 5

WWWLD

19 Apr	vs Portland Timbers	2–0	W
12 Apr	@ San Diego	2–1	W
5 Apr	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Nashville SC	1–3	L
22 Feb	@ Austin	2–2	D

1.8Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

80%Both scored

80%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?

On our numbers FC Dallas have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Minnesota United FC 30%.

How many goals will there be in FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?

Our predicted score is FC Dallas 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?

FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Dallas v Minnesota United FC: numbers & prediction