San Diego v Austin Prediction & Expected Goals (14 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSan Diego to win ✓54% · @1.66

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.45

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52

San Diego vs Austin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Thursday 14 May: San Diego v Austin in the Major League Soccer, played at Snapdragon Stadium. In the table, San Diego are 13th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 34 matches; Austin are 14th (in the drop zone) with 34.

Current form

San Diego, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Seattle Sounders, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Austin, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Minnesota United FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Austin, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for San Diego.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Diego 1.9 xG, Austin 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – San Diego 54%, draw 22%, Austin 24%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Diego 2–1 Austin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Diego54%fair 1.86 · @1.66

Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.10

Austin24%fair 4.12 · @4.40

3.27Expected goals

1.94San Diego xG

1.33Austin xG

64%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–110%

1–07%

2–07%

1–27%

2–26%

From our goals model: San Diego 1.9 – 1.3 Austin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	San Diego to win ✓	54%	1.86	1.66
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	64%	1.56	1.45
Draw no bet	San Diego (draw no bet) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Asian handicap	Austin +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	57%	1.76	1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	75%	1.34	1.30
First team to score	San Diego to score first ✓	57%	1.75	–
Half-time result	San Diego ahead at half-time ✓	39%	2.54	–
Half-time / full-time	HT San Diego / FT San Diego ✓	32%	3.11	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.52	–

San Diego – last 6

DLLLLL

10 May	@ Seattle Sounders	1–1	D
26 Apr	vs Portland Timbers	1–2	L
23 Apr	@ Houston Dynamo	0–1	L
19 Apr	@ Real Salt Lake	2–4	L
12 Apr	vs Minnesota United FC	1–2	L
5 Apr	@ San Jose Earthquakes	0–3	L

0.8Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Austin – last 6

DWLLDD

11 May	@ Minnesota United FC	2–2	D
26 Apr	vs Houston Dynamo	2–0	W
23 Apr	@ San Jose Earthquakes	1–5	L
15 Apr	@ Louisville City	1–2	L
5 Apr	@ Inter Miami	2–2	D
22 Mar	vs Los Angeles FC	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Diego vs Austin?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win San Diego vs Austin?

On our numbers San Diego have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Austin 24%.

How many goals will there be in San Diego vs Austin?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Diego vs Austin?

Our predicted score is San Diego 2–1 Austin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is San Diego vs Austin?

San Diego vs Austin (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

San Diego v Austin: numbers & prediction