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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · BMO Stadium
Los Angeles FC 68%Draw 18%Sporting Kansas City 14% Expected goals 2.30 – 1.01
68%
Betarazi pick

Los Angeles FC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✓68% · @1.28
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Kansas City travel to face Los Angeles FC on Sunday 26 July in the Major League Soccer, with BMO Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 03:30 WAT. In the table, Los Angeles FC are 6th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Sporting Kansas City are 15th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Los Angeles FC, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Real Salt Lake, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sporting Kansas City, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Minnesota United FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Los Angeles FC 2.3 xG, Sporting Kansas City 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Los Angeles FC 68%, draw 18%, Sporting Kansas City 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Los Angeles FC to win (68%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Los Angeles FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Los Angeles FC68%fair 1.48 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @6.20
Sporting Kansas City14%fair 6.96 · @8.10
3.30Expected goals
2.30Los Angeles FC xG
1.01Sporting Kansas City xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Los Angeles FC 2.3 – 1.0 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLos Angeles FC to win ✓68%1.481.28
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✓86%1.171.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.65
Draw no betLos Angeles FC (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapLos Angeles FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.861.90
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.381.38
First team to scoreLos Angeles FC to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultLos Angeles FC ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Los Angeles FC / FT Los Angeles FC ✓44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Los Angeles FC – last 6

WWWLLL
23 Julvs Real Salt Lake3–1W
18 Jul@ Los Angeles Galaxy3–0W
25 Mayvs Seattle Sounders1–0W
18 May@ Nashville SC2–3L
14 May@ St. Louis City1–2L
11 Mayvs Houston Dynamo1–4L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sporting Kansas City – last 6

WLLWWL
23 Julvs Minnesota United FC2–1W
17 Jul@ St. Louis City2–3L
24 Mayvs New York Red Bulls1–2L
17 May@ Austin2–1W
14 Mayvs Los Angeles Galaxy3–1W
10 May@ Portland Timbers0–6L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Los Angeles FC and Sporting Kansas City.

Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our pick is Los Angeles FC to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

On our numbers Los Angeles FC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sporting Kansas City 14%.

How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our predicted score is Los Angeles FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.