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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orlando City SC v FC Cincinnati: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Exploria Stadium
1–1
FT
Orlando City SC 43%Draw 19%FC Cincinnati 37% Expected goals 2.19 – 2.03
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultOrlando City SC to win ✗43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.96

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 16 August the Major League Soccer brings Orlando City SC against FC Cincinnati at Exploria Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Orlando City SC are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; FC Cincinnati are 9th (lower half) with 46. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Orlando City SC, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atletico San Luis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

FC Cincinnati, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlas, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orlando City SC 2.2 xG, FC Cincinnati 2.0 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando City SC 43%, draw 19%, FC Cincinnati 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando City SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orlando City SC43%fair 2.30 · @2.12
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.10
FC Cincinnati37%fair 2.67 · @2.82
4.22Expected goals
2.19Orlando City SC xG
2.03FC Cincinnati xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–17%
3–25%
3–15%

From our goals model: Orlando City SC 2.2 – 2.0 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrlando City SC to win ✗43%2.302.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.411.25
Draw no betOrlando City SC (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapFC Cincinnati +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.111.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76%1.311.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗58%1.721.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓61%1.631.48
First team to scoreOrlando City SC to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultOrlando City SC ahead at half-time ✗36%2.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orlando City SC / FT Orlando City SC ✗27%3.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.96–

Recent results

Orlando City SC – last 6

DLWLWW
13 Augvs Atletico San Luis2–2D
8 Augvs Leon1–2L
6 Aug@ Monterrey2–1W
2 Aug@ New York Red Bulls2–3L
26 Julvs Nashville SC1–0W
23 Jul@ San Jose Earthquakes4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Cincinnati – last 6

LWWWLW
12 Augvs Atlas1–2L
8 Augvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–0W
5 Augvs CF Pachuca3–1W
2 Augvs San Jose Earthquakes4–2W
26 Jul@ Columbus Crew1–2L
23 Julvs Vancouver Whitecaps4–3W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026FC Cincinnati v Orlando City SC6–2
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?

On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Cincinnati 37%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Exploria Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.