Atlanta United FC 44%Draw 19%New York Red Bulls 36%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.57
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: New York Red Bulls to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✓44% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.48
Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer, played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; New York Red Bulls are 10th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Atlanta United FC, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Philadelphia Union, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
New York Red Bulls, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Orlando City SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours New York Red Bulls, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Atlanta United FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.8 xG, New York Red Bulls 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 44%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 36%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: New York Red Bulls to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlanta United FC44%fair 2.25 · @1.97
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.95
New York Red Bulls36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
3.34Expected goals
1.77Atlanta United FC xG
1.57New York Red Bulls xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.8 – 1.6 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win✓
44%
2.25
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Draw no bet
Atlanta United FC (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
New York Red Bulls +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
First team to score
Atlanta United FC to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Atlanta United FC – last 6
LLDLLL
2 Aug
@ Philadelphia Union
2–3
L
26 Jul
@ New England Revolution
1–4
L
23 Jul
@ Charlotte
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Nashville SC
0–1
L
24 May
@ Columbus Crew
0–2
L
20 May
@ Orlando City SC
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New York Red Bulls – last 6
WLLWDW
2 Aug
vs Orlando City SC
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Charlotte
0–2
L
23 Jul
@ Philadelphia Union
1–3
L
24 May
@ Sporting Kansas City
2–1
W
17 May
vs New York City FC
1–1
D
14 May
vs Columbus Crew
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and New York Red Bulls.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 19% and New York Red Bulls 36%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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