Real Salt Lake 64%Draw 20%Minnesota United FC 16%Expected goals 2.04 – 0.88
84%
Betarazi pick
Real Salt Lake or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Real Salt Lake to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Salt Lake to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceReal Salt Lake or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Salt Lake welcome Minnesota United FC to America First Field for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 16 August (02:30 WAT). In the table, Real Salt Lake are 9th, lower half, on 45 points after 34 matches; Minnesota United FC are 10th (lower half) with 44. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Salt Lake, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Juarez, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Minnesota United FC, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atlante FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Salt Lake 2.0 xG, Minnesota United FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Salt Lake 64%, draw 20%, Minnesota United FC 16%.
Lower-risk option: Real Salt Lake or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Real Salt Lake to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Salt Lake or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Salt Lake 2–0 Minnesota United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Salt Lake64%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.95
Minnesota United FC16%fair 6.44 · @4.20
2.93Expected goals
2.04Real Salt Lake xG
0.88Minnesota United FC xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real Salt Lake 2.0 – 0.9 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Salt Lake to win✗
64%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Real Salt Lake or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Real Salt Lake (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Real Salt Lake -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
First team to score
Real Salt Lake to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Real Salt Lake ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Salt Lake / FT Real Salt Lake✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Real Salt Lake – last 6
WWDDLL
12 Aug
vs FC Juarez
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Atlante FC
4–0
W
5 Aug
@ Tigres UANL
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ St. Louis City
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Portland Timbers
1–2
L
23 Jul
@ Los Angeles FC
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Minnesota United FC – last 6
WDLDDL
12 Aug
vs Atlante FC
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Tigres UANL
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs FC Juarez
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs San Diego
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0–0
D
23 Jul
@ Sporting Kansas City
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC.
What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Our pick is Real Salt Lake or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
On our numbers Real Salt Lake have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Minnesota United FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Our predicted score is Real Salt Lake 2–0 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at America First Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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