Toronto FC 44%Draw 21%New England Revolution 34%Expected goals 1.59 – 1.36
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: New England Revolution to win @ 3.31 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultToronto FC to win ✓44% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.12
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New England Revolution travel to face Toronto FC on Sunday 16 August in the Major League Soccer, with BMO Field the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; New England Revolution are 3rd (among the top four) with 58. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Toronto FC, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with New York City FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
New England Revolution, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Houston Dynamo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours New England Revolution, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Toronto FC.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 1.6 xG, New England Revolution 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 44%, draw 21%, New England Revolution 34%.
Price worth noting: New England Revolution to win @3.31 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 1–1 New England Revolution. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toronto FC44%fair 2.25 · @2.11
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.63
New England Revolution34%fair 2.91 · @3.31
2.95Expected goals
1.59Toronto FC xG
1.36New England Revolution xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.6 – 1.4 New England Revolution expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New England Revolution 34%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 New England Revolution, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Houston Dynamo1
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