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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Inter Miami v Toronto FC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Nu Stadium
1–2
FT
Inter Miami 69%Draw 17%Toronto FC 14% Expected goals 2.67 – 1.15
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultInter Miami to win ✗69% · @1.41
Double chanceInter Miami or draw ✗86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Inter Miami v Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Nu Stadium. In the table, Inter Miami are 2nd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Inter Miami, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Philadelphia Union, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Toronto FC, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Charlotte, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Inter Miami 2.7 xG, Toronto FC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Inter Miami 69%, draw 17%, Toronto FC 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Inter Miami or draw (86%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter Miami 2–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Inter Miami69%fair 1.44 · @1.41
Draw17%fair 6.02 · @5.40
Toronto FC14%fair 7.18 · @5.75
3.82Expected goals
2.67Inter Miami xG
1.15Toronto FC xG
64%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Inter Miami 2.7 – 1.1 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInter Miami to win ✗69%1.441.41
Double chanceInter Miami or draw ✗86%1.161.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.40
Draw no betInter Miami (draw no bet) ✗83%1.20–
Asian handicapInter Miami -1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.131.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗54%1.851.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.541.48
First team to scoreInter Miami to score first68%1.46–
Half-time resultInter Miami ahead at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami ✗47%2.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

Inter Miami – last 6

DLLLWD
20 Aug@ Philadelphia Union2–2D
16 Aug@ Nashville SC1–4L
13 Augvs Leon2–3L
9 Augvs Monterrey1–2L
6 Augvs Atletico San Luis4–2W
2 Augvs Columbus Crew2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Toronto FC – last 6

DWDLDD
20 Augvs Charlotte3–3D
16 Augvs New England Revolution2–1W
1 Aug@ New York City FC1–1D
26 Jul@ DC United1–2L
23 Jul@ New England Revolution0–0D
17 Jul@ CF Montreal0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Inter Miami and Toronto FC.

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?

On our numbers Inter Miami have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Toronto FC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?

Our predicted score is Inter Miami 2–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.