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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Austin v Philadelphia Union: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Q2 Stadium

Austin

WLDWW
1–1
FT
Austin 31%Draw 21%Philadelphia Union 48% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.85
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87

Austin vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Major League Soccer brings Austin against Philadelphia Union at Q2 Stadium. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Austin are 14th, in the drop zone, on 34 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Austin, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Seattle Sounders, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Philadelphia Union, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Inter Miami, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austin 1.4 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Austin 31%, draw 21%, Philadelphia Union 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austin31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
Philadelphia Union48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
3.28Expected goals
1.43Austin xG
1.85Philadelphia Union xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%

From our goals model: Austin 1.4 – 1.8 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗48%2.082.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.53
Draw no betPhiladelphia Union (draw no bet)61%1.64–
Asian handicapAustin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
First team to scorePhiladelphia Union to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✗29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

Austin – last 6

WLDWWL
20 Aug@ Seattle Sounders2–1W
17 Augvs FC Dallas1–2L
14 Aug@ Club America1–1D
10 Augvs Puebla3–0W
7 Augvs Club Tijuana2–0W
2 Aug@ Colorado Rapids0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Philadelphia Union – last 6

DWLWLW
20 Augvs Inter Miami2–2D
16 Aug@ New York City FC3–2W
14 Augvs Santos Laguna0–2L
10 Augvs Necaxa3–1W
7 Aug@ Cruz Azul0–1L
2 Augvs Atlanta United FC3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Austin and Philadelphia Union.

Austin vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Austin vs Philadelphia Union?

On our numbers Austin have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Philadelphia Union 48%.

How many goals will there be in Austin vs Philadelphia Union?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?

Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Austin vs Philadelphia Union?

Austin vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.