Austin 31%Draw 21%Philadelphia Union 48%Expected goals 1.43 – 1.85
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Austin vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Major League Soccer brings Austin against Philadelphia Union at Q2 Stadium. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Austin are 14th, in the drop zone, on 34 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Austin, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Seattle Sounders, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Inter Miami, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Austin 1.4 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Austin 31%, draw 21%, Philadelphia Union 48%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Austin31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
Philadelphia Union48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
3.28Expected goals
1.43Austin xG
1.85Philadelphia Union xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Austin 1.4 – 1.8 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✗
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.53
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Austin +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Austin – last 6
WLDWWL
20 Aug
@ Seattle Sounders
2–1
W
17 Aug
vs FC Dallas
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Club America
1–1
D
10 Aug
vs Puebla
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Club Tijuana
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
DWLWLW
20 Aug
vs Inter Miami
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ New York City FC
3–2
W
14 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
0–2
L
10 Aug
vs Necaxa
3–1
W
7 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Atlanta United FC
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Austin have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Philadelphia Union 48%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Austin vs Philadelphia Union?
Austin vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.