New York Red Bulls 37%Draw 19%Chicago Fire 44%Expected goals 1.64 – 1.83
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
Picks by market
ResultChicago Fire to win ✗44% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York Red Bulls welcome Chicago Fire to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 23 August (00:30 WAT). In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New York Red Bulls, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nashville SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Chicago Fire, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orlando City SC, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Chicago Fire, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for New York Red Bulls.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.6 xG, Chicago Fire 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 37%, draw 19%, Chicago Fire 44%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–2 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York Red Bulls37%fair 2.73 · @2.58
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.10
Chicago Fire44%fair 2.26 · @2.28
3.47Expected goals
1.64New York Red Bulls xG
1.83Chicago Fire xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.6 – 1.8 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✗
44%
2.26
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Draw no bet
Chicago Fire (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
New York Red Bulls +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
First team to score
Chicago Fire to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
New York Red Bulls – last 6
LLWLLW
20 Aug
vs Nashville SC
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Atlanta United FC
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Orlando City SC
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Charlotte
0–2
L
23 Jul
@ Philadelphia Union
1–3
L
24 May
@ Sporting Kansas City
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chicago Fire – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Aug
@ Orlando City SC
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Portland Timbers
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
2–1
W
10 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
3–1
W
7 Aug
vs Necaxa
2–0
W
2 Aug
vs Charlotte
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chicago Fire 44%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–2 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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