CF Montreal 42%Draw 21%Los Angeles Galaxy 37%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.44
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Los Angeles Galaxy to win @ 3.05 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCF Montreal to win ✗42% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Los Angeles Galaxy travel to face CF Montreal on Sunday 23 August in the Major League Soccer, with Saputo Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, CF Montreal are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; Los Angeles Galaxy are 11th (lower half) with 44. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CF Montreal, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Columbus Crew, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Los Angeles Galaxy, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Jose Earthquakes, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Montreal 1.6 xG, Los Angeles Galaxy 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Montreal 42%, draw 21%, Los Angeles Galaxy 37%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Los Angeles Galaxy to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Montreal 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Montreal42%fair 2.36 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
Los Angeles Galaxy37%fair 2.71 · @3.05
3.00Expected goals
1.56CF Montreal xG
1.44Los Angeles Galaxy xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: CF Montreal 1.6 – 1.4 Los Angeles Galaxy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Montreal to win✗
42%
2.36
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Draw no bet
CF Montreal (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Los Angeles Galaxy +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
CF Montreal to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Montreal / FT CF Montreal✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
CF Montreal – last 6
WDDLLD
20 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs DC United
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs New England Revolution
2–2
D
26 Jul
vs Inter Miami
0–1
L
23 Jul
@ Nashville SC
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Toronto FC
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Los Angeles Galaxy – last 6
WLDDLL
20 Aug
vs San Jose Earthquakes
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Houston Dynamo
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs FC Dallas
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs St. Louis City
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs Los Angeles FC
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy.
What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
On our numbers CF Montreal have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Los Angeles Galaxy 37%.
How many goals will there be in CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our predicted score is CF Montreal 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Saputo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.