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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CF Montreal v Los Angeles Galaxy: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Saputo Stadium
2–2
FT
CF Montreal 42%Draw 21%Los Angeles Galaxy 37% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.44
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2

Value bet: Los Angeles Galaxy to win @ 3.05 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCF Montreal to win ✗42% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45

CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Los Angeles Galaxy travel to face CF Montreal on Sunday 23 August in the Major League Soccer, with Saputo Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, CF Montreal are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; Los Angeles Galaxy are 11th (lower half) with 44. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CF Montreal, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Columbus Crew, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Los Angeles Galaxy, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Jose Earthquakes, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CF Montreal 1.6 xG, Los Angeles Galaxy 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CF Montreal 42%, draw 21%, Los Angeles Galaxy 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Los Angeles Galaxy to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Montreal 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CF Montreal42%fair 2.36 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
Los Angeles Galaxy37%fair 2.71 · @3.05
3.00Expected goals
1.56CF Montreal xG
1.44Los Angeles Galaxy xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: CF Montreal 1.6 – 1.4 Los Angeles Galaxy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Montreal to win ✗42%2.362.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.48
Draw no betCF Montreal (draw no bet)53%1.87–
Asian handicapLos Angeles Galaxy +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.591.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
First team to scoreCF Montreal to score first49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT CF Montreal / FT CF Montreal ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

CF Montreal – last 6

WDDLLD
20 Aug@ Columbus Crew2–1W
16 Augvs DC United1–1D
2 Augvs New England Revolution2–2D
26 Julvs Inter Miami0–1L
23 Jul@ Nashville SC0–1L
17 Julvs Toronto FC0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Los Angeles Galaxy – last 6

WLDDLL
20 Augvs San Jose Earthquakes1–0W
16 Aug@ Houston Dynamo0–1L
2 Augvs FC Dallas0–0D
26 Jul@ San Jose Earthquakes1–1D
23 Julvs St. Louis City1–3L
18 Julvs Los Angeles FC0–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy.

CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

On our numbers CF Montreal have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Los Angeles Galaxy 37%.

How many goals will there be in CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Our predicted score is CF Montreal 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Saputo Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.