San Jose Earthquakes 38%Draw 21%Minnesota United FC 41%Expected goals 1.42 – 1.48
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Minnesota United FC to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMinnesota United FC to win ✓41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Major League Soccer brings San Jose Earthquakes against Minnesota United FC at PayPal Park. Kick-off: 03:30 WAT. In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; Minnesota United FC are 10th (lower half) with 44.
Current form
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Los Angeles Galaxy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Minnesota United FC, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlanta United FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Minnesota United FC, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended San Jose Earthquakes 4–2 Minnesota United FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 1.4 xG, Minnesota United FC 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 21%, Minnesota United FC 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Minnesota United FC to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Jose Earthquakes38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Minnesota United FC41%fair 2.45 · @2.75
2.90Expected goals
1.42San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.48Minnesota United FC xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.4 – 1.5 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Minnesota United FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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