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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Shell Energy Stadium
2–1
FT
Houston Dynamo 63%Draw 14%Real Salt Lake 23% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.97
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Houston Dynamo to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08

Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Salt Lake travel to face Houston Dynamo on Thursday 10 September in the Major League Soccer, with Shell Energy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Houston Dynamo are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 34 matches; Real Salt Lake are 9th (lower half) with 45.

Current form

Houston Dynamo, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Charlotte, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Real Salt Lake, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Los Angeles FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Houston Dynamo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Real Salt Lake.

Head to head

When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Real Salt Lake 3–0 Houston Dynamo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dynamo 1.9 xG, Real Salt Lake 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dynamo 63%, draw 14%, Real Salt Lake 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Houston Dynamo to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dynamo 1–1 Real Salt Lake. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Houston Dynamo63%fair 1.59 · @1.90
Draw14%fair 7.09 · @3.70
Real Salt Lake23%fair 4.34 · @3.65
2.86Expected goals
1.89Houston Dynamo xG
0.97Real Salt Lake xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 1.9 – 1.0 Real Salt Lake expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHouston Dynamo to win ✓63%1.591.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.62
Draw no betHouston Dynamo (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapReal Salt Lake +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.15
First team to scoreHouston Dynamo to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultHouston Dynamo ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.08–

Recent results

Houston Dynamo – last 6

DDLWWW
6 Sep@ Charlotte0–0D
30 Augvs San Jose Earthquakes0–0D
23 Aug@ St. Louis City1–2L
20 Aug@ Vancouver Whitecaps1–0W
16 Augvs Los Angeles Galaxy1–0W
8 Aug@ New England Revolution2–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Real Salt Lake – last 6

DLLLLD
6 Sepvs Los Angeles FC2–2D
30 Aug@ Colorado Rapids0–1L
26 Aug@ Leon0–3L
23 Aug@ Orlando City SC1–2L
20 Augvs FC Dallas3–4L
16 Augvs Minnesota United FC1–1D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 May 2026Real Salt Lake v Houston Dynamo3–0
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Real Salt Lake 23%.

How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 1–1 Real Salt Lake, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.