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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Diego v San Jose Earthquakes: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Snapdragon Stadium
2–3
FT
San Diego 61%Draw 16%San Jose Earthquakes 23% Expected goals 2.15 – 1.22
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Diego to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31

San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 10 September the Major League Soccer brings San Diego against San Jose Earthquakes at Snapdragon Stadium. Kick-off: 03:30 WAT. In the table, San Diego are 13th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Diego, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Orlando City SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Austin, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours San Diego, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for San Jose Earthquakes.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended San Jose Earthquakes 3–0 San Diego.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Diego 2.1 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Diego 61%, draw 16%, San Jose Earthquakes 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Diego 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Diego61%fair 1.65 · @1.73
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @4.30
San Jose Earthquakes23%fair 4.36 · @3.90
3.37Expected goals
2.15San Diego xG
1.22San Jose Earthquakes xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: San Diego 2.1 – 1.2 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Diego to win ✗61%1.651.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.40
Draw no betSan Diego (draw no bet) ✗73%1.38–
Asian handicapSan Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.831.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.371.33
First team to scoreSan Diego to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultSan Diego ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Diego / FT San Diego ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

San Diego – last 6

LWWLWW
6 Sep@ Orlando City SC0–1L
30 Augvs Los Angeles Galaxy3–1W
23 Augvs Colorado Rapids3–0W
20 Aug@ Portland Timbers1–3L
16 Aug@ Los Angeles FC1–0W
13 Augvs Puebla3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes – last 6

DDLLLL
6 Sep@ Austin1–1D
30 Aug@ Houston Dynamo0–0D
23 Augvs Minnesota United FC1–5L
20 Aug@ Los Angeles Galaxy0–1L
16 Augvs St. Louis City1–3L
2 Aug@ FC Cincinnati2–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026San Jose Earthquakes v San Diego3–0
San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes?

On our numbers San Diego have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and San Jose Earthquakes 23%.

How many goals will there be in San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our predicted score is San Diego 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes?

San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.