San Jose Earthquakes 38%Draw 22%Houston Dynamo 40%Expected goals 1.41 – 1.47
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Houston Dynamo to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Jose Earthquakes welcome Houston Dynamo to PayPal Park for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 13 September (03:30 WAT). In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; Houston Dynamo are 5th (upper half) with 51. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over San Diego, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Houston Dynamo, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Salt Lake, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Houston Dynamo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Houston Dynamo 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 1.4 xG, Houston Dynamo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 22%, Houston Dynamo 40%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Houston Dynamo to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Houston Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Jose Earthquakes38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Houston Dynamo40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
2.88Expected goals
1.41San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.47Houston Dynamo xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.4 – 1.5 Houston Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Houston Dynamo 40%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Houston Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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