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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chicago Fire v New England Revolution: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Soldier Field
Chicago Fire 61%Draw 17%New England Revolution 22% Expected goals 2.03 – 1.08
61%
Betarazi pick

Chicago Fire to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultChicago Fire to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Major League Soccer brings Chicago Fire against New England Revolution at Soldier Field. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Chicago Fire are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 34 matches; New England Revolution are 3rd (among the top four) with 58. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chicago Fire, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Inter Miami, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

New England Revolution, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over New York City FC, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours New England Revolution, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Chicago Fire.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Fire 2.0 xG, New England Revolution 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Fire 61%, draw 17%, New England Revolution 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chicago Fire to win (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Fire 2–1 New England Revolution. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chicago Fire61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @3.80
New England Revolution22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
3.11Expected goals
2.03Chicago Fire xG
1.08New England Revolution xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.0 – 1.1 New England Revolution expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChicago Fire to win ✗61%1.631.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.44
Draw no betChicago Fire (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapNew England Revolution +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
First team to scoreChicago Fire to score first ✗62%1.60–
Half-time resultChicago Fire ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Chicago Fire – last 6

DDDLDW
10 Sepvs Inter Miami1–1D
6 Sep@ Toronto FC4–4D
29 Aug@ Seattle Sounders2–2D
26 Aug@ Monterrey1–2L
23 Aug@ New York Red Bulls1–1D
20 Aug@ Orlando City SC2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

New England Revolution – last 6

WLWDWL
10 Sep@ New York City FC2–1W
6 Sep@ Los Angeles Galaxy1–2L
30 Aug@ Columbus Crew3–1W
23 Augvs New York City FC1–1D
20 Aug@ DC United3–0W
16 Aug@ Toronto FC1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chicago Fire and New England Revolution.

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?

Our pick is Chicago Fire to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?

On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and New England Revolution 22%.

How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?

Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–1 New England Revolution, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.