Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultNashville SC to win ✓77% · @1.17
Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the Major League Soccer brings Nashville SC against Sporting Kansas City at Geodis Park. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Nashville SC are 1st, leading the league, on 77 points after 34 matches; Sporting Kansas City are 15th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 51 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nashville SC, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Austin, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting Kansas City, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Portland Timbers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nashville SC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Sporting Kansas City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nashville SC 2.5 xG, Sporting Kansas City 0.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nashville SC 77%, draw 14%, Sporting Kansas City 9%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nashville SC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nashville SC77%fair 1.31 · @1.17
Draw14%fair 7.06 · @7.00
Sporting Kansas City9%fair 10.80 · @11.00
3.29Expected goals
2.54Nashville SC xG
0.75Sporting Kansas City xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.5 – 0.7 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✓
77%
1.31
1.17
Double chance
Nashville SC or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.75
Draw no bet
Nashville SC (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Nashville SC -1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Nashville SC to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Nashville SC ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✓
52%
1.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Nashville SC – last 6
WWWDLD
11 Oct
@ Austin
4–1
W
27 Sep
vs Toronto FC
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Chicago Fire
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
10 Sep
@ Toronto FC
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ New York City FC
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
DLWLWL
11 Oct
vs Portland Timbers
3–3
D
2 Oct
@ Seattle Sounders
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Houston Dynamo
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Philadelphia Union
3–4
L
13 Sep
vs Los Angeles FC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ FC Dallas
3–4
L
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nashville SC and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers Nashville SC have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Sporting Kansas City 9%.
How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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