Real Salt Lake 57%Draw 21%San Jose Earthquakes 22%Expected goals 2.00 – 1.16
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Real Salt Lake to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Salt Lake to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the Major League Soccer brings Real Salt Lake against San Jose Earthquakes at Rio Tinto Stadium. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Real Salt Lake are 9th, lower half, on 45 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52.
Current form
Real Salt Lake, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Philadelphia Union, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colorado Rapids, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Jose Earthquakes, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Real Salt Lake.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Salt Lake 2.0 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Salt Lake 57%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Real Salt Lake to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Salt Lake57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.60
San Jose Earthquakes22%fair 4.49 · @3.30
3.16Expected goals
2.00Real Salt Lake xG
1.16San Jose Earthquakes xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Real Salt Lake 2.0 – 1.2 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Salt Lake to win✗
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Draw no bet
Real Salt Lake (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Real Salt Lake to score first
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Real Salt Lake ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Salt Lake / FT Real Salt Lake✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Real Salt Lake – last 6
LWLLLL
11 Oct
@ Philadelphia Union
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs New England Revolution
3–0
W
24 Sep
@ Seattle Sounders
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs New York City FC
0–2
L
10 Sep
@ Houston Dynamo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
DWDWWD
11 Oct
@ Colorado Rapids
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Portland Timbers
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Los Angeles FC
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Houston Dynamo
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ San Diego
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Austin
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes.
What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
On our numbers Real Salt Lake have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Jose Earthquakes 22%.
How many goals will there be in Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our predicted score is Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Tinto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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