San Jose Earthquakes 21%Draw 20%Nashville SC 60%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.99
60%
Betarazi pick
Nashville SC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultNashville SC to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Jose Earthquakes welcome Nashville SC to Avaya Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 18 October (03:30 WAT). In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Salt Lake, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Nashville SC, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sporting Kansas City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 1.1 xG, Nashville SC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 21%, draw 20%, Nashville SC 60%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nashville SC to win (60%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Jose Earthquakes21%fair 4.85 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.60
Nashville SC60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
3.05Expected goals
1.06San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.99Nashville SC xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.1 – 2.0 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✗
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.44
Draw no bet
Nashville SC (draw no bet)
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Nashville SC to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Nashville SC ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
DDWDWW
15 Oct
@ Real Salt Lake
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Colorado Rapids
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Portland Timbers
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Los Angeles FC
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Houston Dynamo
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ San Diego
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nashville SC – last 6
WWWWDL
15 Oct
vs Sporting Kansas City
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Austin
4–1
W
27 Sep
vs Toronto FC
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Chicago Fire
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
10 Sep
@ Toronto FC
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Nashville SC to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nashville SC 60%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Avaya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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