Orlando City SC v New York City FC Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOrlando City SC to win ✗42% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.01

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

New York City FC travel to face Orlando City SC on Sunday 25 October in the Major League Soccer, with Exploria Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Orlando City SC are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; New York City FC are 11th (lower half) with 42.

Current form

Orlando City SC, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over DC United, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

New York City FC, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Los Angeles FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orlando City SC 1.8 xG, New York City FC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando City SC 42%, draw 21%, New York City FC 37%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orlando City SC42%fair 2.37 · @2.15

Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60

New York City FC37%fair 2.69 · @2.80

3.53Expected goals

1.83Orlando City SC xG

1.70New York City FC xG

67%Both score

68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

2–18%

1–28%

2–27%

1–05%

3–15%

From our goals model: Orlando City SC 1.8 – 1.7 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Orlando City SC to win ✗	42%	2.37	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	67%	1.49	1.40
Draw no bet	Orlando City SC (draw no bet)	53%	1.88	–
Asian handicap	New York City FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	53%	1.89	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	–
First team to score	Orlando City SC to score first	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	36%	2.78	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Orlando City SC / FT Orlando City SC ✗	25%	3.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.01	–

Orlando City SC – last 6

WDWLLL

18 Oct	vs DC United	4–1	W
15 Oct	@ Toronto FC	3–3	D
11 Oct	vs Columbus Crew	3–2	W
27 Sep	@ Philadelphia Union	2–4	L
20 Sep	@ New England Revolution	2–4	L
17 Sep	@ Columbus Crew	1–2	L

2.5Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

New York City FC – last 6

DLLDLW

18 Oct	vs Los Angeles FC	1–1	D
15 Oct	@ Inter Miami	0–2	L
10 Oct	@ Chicago Fire	1–2	L
27 Sep	@ Atlanta United FC	2–2	D
19 Sep	vs New York Red Bulls	0–1	L
13 Sep	@ Real Salt Lake	2–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New York City FC 37%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Exploria Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Orlando City SC v New York City FC: numbers & prediction