Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultChicago Fire to win ✓41% · @2.38

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer, played at Atlanta Stadium. In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlanta United FC, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Inter Miami, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chicago Fire, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to New England Revolution, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.5 xG, Chicago Fire 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 38%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 41%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlanta United FC38%fair 2.65 · @2.50

Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50

Chicago Fire41%fair 2.42 · @2.38

3.07Expected goals

1.49Atlanta United FC xG

1.58Chicago Fire xG

66%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

2–18%

0–17%

1–07%

2–26%

From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.5 – 1.6 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chicago Fire to win ✓	41%	2.42	2.38
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.51	1.40
Draw no bet	Chicago Fire (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.91	–
Asian handicap	Atlanta United FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.69	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	80%	1.24	–
First team to score	Chicago Fire to score first	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	39%	2.56	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire ✗	24%	4.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.61	–

Atlanta United FC – last 6

LWLDWD

18 Oct	vs Inter Miami	1–3	L
15 Oct	@ CF Montreal	3–0	W
11 Oct	vs FC Cincinnati	1–3	L
27 Sep	vs New York City FC	2–2	D
20 Sep	@ Portland Timbers	1–0	W
13 Sep	@ DC United	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Chicago Fire – last 6

LLWWWL

18 Oct	@ New England Revolution	0–1	L
15 Oct	vs Philadelphia Union	1–3	L
10 Oct	vs New York City FC	2–1	W
7 Oct	vs Vancouver Whitecaps	3–1	W
27 Sep	@ Charlotte	1–0	W
20 Sep	@ Nashville SC	0–3	L

1.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Fire 41%.

How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Atlanta Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire: numbers & prediction