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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Talen Energy Stadium
Philadelphia Union 61%Draw 19%New England Revolution 20% Expected goals 2.16 – 1.16
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗61% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Major League Soccer brings Philadelphia Union against New England Revolution at Talen Energy Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; New England Revolution are 3rd (among the top four) with 58.

Current form

Philadelphia Union, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Charlotte, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

New England Revolution, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chicago Fire, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for New England Revolution.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 2.2 xG, New England Revolution 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 61%, draw 19%, New England Revolution 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 2–1 New England Revolution. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Philadelphia Union61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.20
New England Revolution20%fair 4.98 · @4.80
3.32Expected goals
2.16Philadelphia Union xG
1.16New England Revolution xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.2 – 1.2 New England Revolution expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗61%1.641.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.44
Draw no betPhiladelphia Union (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapPhiladelphia Union -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
First team to scorePhiladelphia Union to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultPhiladelphia Union ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Philadelphia Union – last 6

DWWWWW
17 Octvs Charlotte2–2D
15 Oct@ Chicago Fire3–1W
11 Octvs Real Salt Lake2–1W
27 Sepvs Orlando City SC4–2W
20 Sep@ Sporting Kansas City4–3W
14 Sep@ San Diego5–0W
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

New England Revolution – last 6

WWLLWW
18 Octvs Chicago Fire1–0W
15 Oct@ FC Cincinnati3–2W
11 Octvs Seattle Sounders0–3L
27 Sep@ Real Salt Lake0–3L
20 Sepvs Orlando City SC4–2W
13 Sep@ Chicago Fire2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union2–1
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and New England Revolution 20%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–1 New England Revolution, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Talen Energy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.