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FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Toyota Stadium(Texas)
3–0
FT
FC Dallas 57%Draw 21%San Jose Earthquakes 22% Expected goals 2.06 – 1.21
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Dallas to win ✓57% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Dallas welcome San Jose Earthquakes to Toyota Stadium(Texas) for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 25 October (01:30 WAT). In the table, FC Dallas are 2nd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52.

Current form

FC Dallas, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Houston Dynamo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nashville SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Dallas 2.1 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Dallas 57%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Dallas 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Dallas57%fair 1.76 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.75
San Jose Earthquakes22%fair 4.55 · @3.70
3.27Expected goals
2.06FC Dallas xG
1.21San Jose Earthquakes xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: FC Dallas 2.1 – 1.2 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Dallas to win ✓57%1.761.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.551.44
Draw no betFC Dallas (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapSan Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreFC Dallas to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultFC Dallas ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Dallas / FT FC Dallas ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

FC Dallas – last 6

DWLWDW
18 Oct@ Houston Dynamo2–2D
15 Octvs Seattle Sounders1–0W
11 Oct@ Charlotte2–3L
27 Sepvs Los Angeles FC1–0W
20 Sepvs Austin0–0D
13 Sepvs Portland Timbers2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes – last 6

DDDWDW
18 Octvs Nashville SC1–1D
15 Oct@ Real Salt Lake1–1D
11 Oct@ Colorado Rapids1–1D
27 Sepvs Portland Timbers3–1W
20 Sepvs Los Angeles FC2–2D
13 Sepvs Houston Dynamo1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas2–3
FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?

On our numbers FC Dallas have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Jose Earthquakes 22%.

How many goals will there be in FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our predicted score is FC Dallas 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium(Texas).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.