San Jose Earthquakes 59%Draw 21%Sporting Kansas City 20%Expected goals 2.18 – 1.24
80%
Betarazi pick
San Jose Earthquakes or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✓59% · @1.71
Double chanceSan Jose Earthquakes or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting Kansas City travel to face San Jose Earthquakes on Sunday 22 February in the Major League Soccer, with PayPal Park the venue – the ball rolls at 04:30 WAT. In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; Sporting Kansas City are 15th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 2.2 xG, Sporting Kansas City 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 59%, draw 21%, Sporting Kansas City 20%.
Lower-risk option: San Jose Earthquakes or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Jose Earthquakes or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Jose Earthquakes59%fair 1.71 · @1.71
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.10
Sporting Kansas City20%fair 4.98 · @4.10
3.43Expected goals
2.18San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.24Sporting Kansas City xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 2.2 – 1.2 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✓
59%
1.71
1.71
Double chance
San Jose Earthquakes or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Draw no bet
San Jose Earthquakes (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Kansas City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
First team to score
San Jose Earthquakes to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
San Jose Earthquakes ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
San Jose Earthquakes
No recent results on record.
Sporting Kansas City
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is San Jose Earthquakes or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting Kansas City 20%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 04:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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