Buriram United 63%Draw 22%Lamphun Warrior 15%Expected goals 1.95 – 0.93
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultBuriram United to win ✗63% · @1.30
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓85% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Thai League 1 brings Buriram United against Lamphun Warrior at Chang Arena. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Buriram United are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 7 matches; Lamphun Warrior are 9th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Buriram United, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Johor Darul Takzim FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lamphun Warrior, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chiangrai United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Buriram United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Lamphun Warrior.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buriram United 2.0 xG, Lamphun Warrior 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buriram United 63%, draw 22%, Lamphun Warrior 15%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buriram United 1–0 Lamphun Warrior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buriram United63%fair 1.59 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @5.00
Lamphun Warrior15%fair 6.55 · @7.80
2.88Expected goals
1.95Buriram United xG
0.93Lamphun Warrior xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Buriram United 2.0 – 0.9 Lamphun Warrior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✗
63%
1.59
1.30
Double chance
Buriram United or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Draw no bet
Buriram United (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Buriram United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
First team to score
Buriram United to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Buriram United ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Buriram United – last 6
WLWWLD
6 May
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
3–1
W
29 Apr
@ Rayong FC
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Kanchanaburi
3–1
W
12 Apr
vs Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs BG Pathum United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Ratchaburi
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lamphun Warrior – last 6
DDWLDD
3 May
vs Chiangrai United
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Rayong FC
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Port FC
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Bangkok United
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Lamphun Warrior.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lamphun Warrior 15%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 1–0 Lamphun Warrior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Kanchanaburi0
Muangthong United0