Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
BG Pathum United vs Prachuap: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BG Pathum United welcome Prachuap to BG Stadium for a Thai League 1 fixture on Sunday 10 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, BG Pathum United are 7th, upper half, on 12 points after 8 matches; Prachuap are 4th (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
BG Pathum United, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Muangthong United, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Prachuap, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Uthai Thani, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BG Pathum United 1.4 xG, Prachuap 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BG Pathum United 49%, draw 26%, Prachuap 25%.
Lower-risk option: BG Pathum United or draw (75%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: BG Pathum United 1–1 Prachuap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BG Pathum United49%fair 2.06 · @1.77
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.60
Prachuap25%fair 3.98 · @3.85
2.38Expected goals
1.37BG Pathum United xG
1.02Prachuap xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 1.4 – 1.0 Prachuap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✓
49%
2.06
1.77
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.60
Draw no bet
BG Pathum United (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Prachuap +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
BG Pathum United to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✓
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
BG Pathum United – last 6
DDWWDW
1 May
@ Muangthong United
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Port FC
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Buriram United
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Kanchanaburi
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Ratchaburi
2–2
D
18 Mar
vs Mahasarakham United
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Prachuap – last 6
WWLDWW
3 May
vs Uthai Thani
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Ayutthaya FC
3–1
W
4 Apr
@ Port FC
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Bangkok United
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs Muangthong United
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Prachuap.
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Prachuap 25%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 1–1 Prachuap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is BG Pathum United vs Prachuap?
BG Pathum United vs Prachuap (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at BG Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Kanchanaburi0
Muangthong United0