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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sukhothai FC v Muangthong United: numbers & prediction

Thai League 1 · Thailand · Thalay Luang Stadium

Sukhothai FC

LLLLL
3–0
FT

Muangthong United

DDWLW
Sukhothai FC 36%Draw 27%Muangthong United 37% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.23
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultMuangthong United to win ✗37% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.56

Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 10 May the Thai League 1 brings Sukhothai FC against Muangthong United at Thalay Luang Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.

Current form

Sukhothai FC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nakhon Ratchasima FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Muangthong United, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with BG Pathum United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Muangthong United, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Sukhothai FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sukhothai FC 1.2 xG, Muangthong United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sukhothai FC 36%, draw 27%, Muangthong United 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sukhothai FC 1–1 Muangthong United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sukhothai FC36%fair 2.80 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.20
Muangthong United37%fair 2.68 · @2.65
2.45Expected goals
1.22Sukhothai FC xG
1.23Muangthong United xG
61%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sukhothai FC 1.2 – 1.2 Muangthong United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMuangthong United to win ✗37%2.682.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.57
Draw no betMuangthong United (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapSukhothai FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreMuangthong United to score first ✗46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Muangthong United / FT Muangthong United ✗21%4.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.56–

Recent results

Sukhothai FC – last 6

LLLLLW
2 May@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC0–1L
24 Aprvs Ratchaburi1–2L
3 Apr@ Bangkok United0–2L
21 Mar@ Chonburi FC0–2L
15 Mar@ Kanchanaburi0–1L
7 Marvs Rayong FC2–1W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Muangthong United – last 6

DDWLWL
1 Mayvs BG Pathum United1–1D
26 Apr@ Chonburi FC0–0D
5 Aprvs Chiangrai United2–1W
22 Mar@ Buriram United1–2L
14 Marvs Uthai Thani1–0W
7 Mar@ Prachuap1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sukhothai FC and Muangthong United.

Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United head-to-head page →

Thai League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port FC7511+716
2Bangkok United8512+716
3Ayutthaya FC8512+616
4Prachuap7511+616
5Buriram United7511+516
6Ratchaburi8413+813
7BG Pathum United8332+412
8Uthai Thani8323+211
9Lamphun Warrior8323+211
10Sisaket United8314-410
11Sukhothai FC8314-610
12Rayong FC8224-98
13Chonburi FC8215-37
14Pattani8215-67
15Chiangrai United7124-45
16Rasi Salai United8017-151

More Thai League 1 predictions

League hub
FT Ayutthaya FC1 Port FC4 124%5.20X22%3.80253%1.55 1.3–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.53 ✗
FT Buriram United1 Lamphun Warrior1 163%1.30X22%5.00215%7.80 2.0–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.70 ✓
FT Chiangrai United1 Uthai Thani0 142%2.10X26%3.10232%2.90 1.4–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.60 ✗
FT Chonburi FC2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC1 149%1.85X27%3.40224%3.80 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Kanchanaburi0 Ratchaburi1 124%3.95X24%3.55253%1.77 1.3–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✗
FT BG Pathum United3 Prachuap0 149%1.77X26%3.60225%3.85 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.42 ✓
FT Rayong FC1 Bangkok United1 118%3.70X22%3.60260%1.80 0.9–2.0xG X2Bangkok United or draw 82%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?

On our numbers Sukhothai FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Muangthong United 37%.

How many goals will there be in Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?

Our predicted score is Sukhothai FC 1–1 Muangthong United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United?

Sukhothai FC vs Muangthong United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Thalay Luang Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.